Sadly, I don't have much of a dog in the fight this year for the Academy Awards. As usual, the Best Picture nominees (and, therefore, 90% of the Best Actor/Actress/Supporting/Director/etc awards as well, since they just nominate the same things repeatedly) are mostly movies no one saw and definitely under no circumstances no comedies (I am reserving judgement on Argo as to how it should be classified).
Like I said with my Grammy post a few weeks ago, I am very lukewarm with awards shows. While I appreciate the purpose, I find them to be more about politics and insider popularity than actual critical merit. The Academy Awards, in particular, I have difficulty with, mostly due to their insistence that comedies are not worth recognizing. Sure, every year they nominate some token "comedy" which is usually just a quirky drama rather than an actual comedy, but it very rarely ever wins. (Forrest Gump was the last one I would consider a comedy.) In my opinion, it's relatively easy to drag out some cause-of-the-week drama about race or social injustice from the writer's room and tear-jerk your way to the red carpet, but it's infinitely more difficult to pull off a comedy that isn't simply a string of lowbrow one-liners.
Anyway, of the nine movies nominated, I had heard of six and watched zero. About the only ones I really have any desire to see are Lincoln, Argo, and Django Unchained. You could probably convince me to see Silver Linings Playbook. And I have an uneven relationship with Tarantino films; While I end up liking most of them, I think a lot of them are flawed and not necessarily worth Best Picture Nominee status.
I literally have no opinion about the rest of the nominees. It's just the same as the Best Picture nominees.
What will I think happen? My immediate guess is more or less a Lincoln sweep, but I'm not willing to put money down for that. Aside from that, I'll find out everything Monday morning when I wake up; I'm not staying up to watch six hours of self-congratulations.